Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.469265 0.516241 0.566679 0.624991 0.690712 0.762675 0.847685
2025-10-19 0.394934 0.460388 0.535784 0.629621 0.744059 0.880084 1.055492
2025-10-26 0.351174 0.425410 0.515046 0.632384 0.783604 0.974237 1.236440
2025-11-02 0.321153 0.401114 0.501381 0.638143 0.822642 1.067045 1.422387
2025-11-09 0.290311 0.371573 0.476620 0.624791 0.832388 1.119076 1.556142
2025-11-16 0.272058 0.356146 0.467954 0.630696 0.867029 1.206713 1.749108
2025-11-23 0.253156 0.337869 0.453276 0.625918 0.884664 1.270049 1.911723
2025-11-30 0.239484 0.325469 0.445319 0.629336 0.913616 1.351939 2.112483
2025-12-07 0.224040 0.309263 0.430424 0.620718 0.922630 1.402670 2.267091
2025-12-14 0.210539 0.294829 0.416874 0.612642 0.931105 1.452431 2.425235
2025-12-21 0.195074 0.276460 0.396115 0.591489 0.916122 1.460958 2.509438
2025-12-28 0.188981 0.271659 0.395447 0.601924 0.953913 1.562894 2.780210
2026-01-04 0.182552 0.266070 0.393357 0.610165 0.989276 1.665437 3.070122
2026-01-11 0.175636 0.259300 0.388943 0.614155 1.017549 1.758250 3.355482
2026-01-18 0.169034 0.252585 0.384092 0.616846 1.043445 1.849035 3.650607
2026-01-25 0.163541 0.247282 0.381128 0.622434 1.074949 1.953896 3.993660
2026-02-01 0.154929 0.236434 0.368285 0.609478 1.070071 1.985099 4.173149
2026-02-08 0.150392 0.232017 0.365949 0.615208 1.101627 2.094498 4.556678
2026-02-15 0.144350 0.224764 0.358316 0.610571 1.112130 2.160331 4.844340
2026-02-22 0.140070 0.220241 0.355107 0.613888 1.138837 2.264205 5.248362
2026-03-01 0.134174 0.212668 0.346114 0.605525 1.140591 2.312372 5.512971
2026-03-08 0.128740 0.205635 0.337701 0.597687 1.142713 2.361526 5.789613
2026-03-15 0.121714 0.195533 0.323280 0.577154 1.115901 2.339883 5.860368